GH
Graham Holdings Co (GHC)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered mixed results: revenue rose 1% year over year to $1.17B but missed S&P Global consensus by ~2.7%, while adjusted EPS of $11.64 beat by ~7.8% on stronger operating contributions from Education, Manufacturing and Healthcare . Estimates: Revenue $1.199B*, EPS $10.80* (1 estimate) vs. actual revenue $1.166B and adj. EPS $11.64 . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- GAAP diluted EPS fell to $5.45 on higher interest expense from the fair value adjustment of the Graham Healthcare Group (GHG) mandatorily redeemable noncontrolling interest (MRCI), partially offset by gains on marketable securities .
- Segment mix was favorable: Healthcare revenue +36% YoY; Education operating income +31% YoY; offsets from Television Broadcasting (-8% revenue, -18% operating income) and Automotive (-8% revenue, -33% operating income) .
- Balance sheet/capital allocation: $864.6M borrowings at ~6.0% average rate; $1.115B cash/marketable securities/other investments; repurchased 3,978 shares for $3.5M; subsequent $1.80 quarterly dividend declared on May 6, 2025 .
- Potential stock catalysts: progress on the $205M MRCI settlement announced Feb 25, 2025, Healthcare growth at CSI Pharmacy, and broadcasting seasonality normalization post-political cycle .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Education, Manufacturing and Healthcare drove operating improvement: “The improvement in operating results is due to increases at education, manufacturing and healthcare...” (company press release) .
- Healthcare momentum: revenue +36% YoY to $173.7M; operating income rose to $18.3M driven by CSI and broader GHG improvements .
- Adjusted operating cash flow (AOCF, non-GAAP) +6% YoY to $88.0M; Education (+15%), Manufacturing (+23%), Healthcare (+78%) supported the increase .
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What Went Wrong
- Off-cycle broadcasting and weaker ad demand: Television Broadcasting revenue -8% YoY to $103.6M and operating income -18% to $24.4M .
- Automotive softness: revenue -8% YoY to $281.0M and operating income -33% to $6.5M amid lower vehicle sales/margins and F&I headwinds .
- GAAP EPS compression from non-core items: interest expense spiked to $82.3M (vs. $19.3M) primarily from the MRCI fair value adjustment; gains on marketable equity securities fell to $43.8M (vs. $104.2M) .
Financial Results
Consolidated results (oldest → newest)
Segment breakdown (revenue and operating income; $USD Millions)
Key performance indicators and balance highlights
Actual vs S&P Global consensus (Q1 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: The company did not post a Q1 2025 earnings call transcript; Q1 was an earnings release and 10-Q filing event (no call listed) .
Management Commentary
- Strategic mix and drivers: “Revenue… up 1%… Revenues increased at education, healthcare and other businesses, partially offset by declines at television broadcasting, manufacturing and automotive” (press release) .
- Operating improvement sources: “The improvement in operating results is due to increases at education, manufacturing and healthcare, partially offset by declines at television broadcasting, automotive and other businesses” (press release) .
- Non-GAAP rationale: Management highlights Adjusted Operating Cash Flow and Net income excluding certain items to enable period-to-period comparisons and identify underlying trends; they exclude mark-to-market equity gains/losses and MRCI fair value adjustments as non-core to operations .
- Capital allocation and structure: Repurchases continued in Q1; borrowings at $864.6M (~6.0% avg rate); $1.115B in cash/marketable securities/other investments supports flexibility .
- MRCI settlement: Agreement on Feb 25, 2025 to settle a significant portion of GHG’s MRCI for $205M (cash + stock), reducing future volatility from fair value adjustments .
Q&A Highlights
- No earnings call was listed for Q1 2025; therefore no Q&A disclosures. The next live management interaction was the May 6, 2025 Annual Meeting (webcast) .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q1 2025 EPS was $10.80* (1 estimate) vs. adjusted EPS (non-GAAP) of $11.64 (beat ~7.8%); revenue consensus was $1.199B* vs. $1.166B (miss ~2.7%). The EPS beat reflects higher operating contributions from Education, Manufacturing and Healthcare; the revenue shortfall reflects declines in Television Broadcasting and Automotive . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Low estimate count (n=1) reduces the statistical significance of the surprise and the likelihood of material estimate revisions near-term.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mixed top-line/solid bottom-line: modest revenue growth but an adjusted EPS beat; operating margin improved YoY to ~4.1% despite headwinds in Broadcasting and Automotive .
- Healthcare remains the growth engine; watch CSI Pharmacy momentum and any update post the MRCI settlement to reduce earnings volatility from fair value adjustments .
- Education’s profitability inflected positively (OI +31% YoY), supporting the multi-segment margin narrative as Broadcasting normalizes post-political cycle .
- Non-core items can still swing GAAP EPS (marketable securities, pension/MRCI); prioritize adjusted metrics and AOCF ($88M in Q1) when assessing underlying trajectory .
- Capital flexibility intact: $1.115B in cash/marketable securities, repurchases ongoing, and regular dividend ($1.80 per share declared May 6) provide downside support while enabling opportunistic deployment .
- Near-term trading setup: potential consolidation as investors digest revenue miss and Broadcasting seasonality; upside catalysts include sustained Healthcare growth, Education margin carry-through, and clarity on MRCI settlement cash/stock flows .
- Medium-term thesis: diversified portfolio with improving mix (Education/Healthcare), operational actions in Manufacturing, and disciplined capital allocation could compound adjusted earnings as cyclical drags abate .
Notes:
- Non-GAAP metrics and reconciliations are provided by the company; see press release exhibits **[104889_0000104889-25-000033_a2025q18-kexhibit991.htm:7]** **[104889_609e5c5d989043f399eb6f857ffbc3c4_7]**.
- S&P Global consensus figures marked with * are from SPGI/Capital IQ. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Citations:
- Q1 2025 press release and 8-K:
- Q4 2024 press release and 8-K:
- Q3 2024 press release and 8-K:
- IR Releases and Events pages (dividend, event format):